Field-of-64 If it Ended Today – May 17th

by Carl James • @jovian34 • May 17

Hoosiers barely still a 2-seed in this model after winning the opener of the RUTGERS series and Michigan dropping out of the RPI top-50

Bracket predictions are all over the place now on just about any site that covers national Division I College baseball. This field is different. I am not “projecting” with this bracket. This is if the committee had to put the field together today. This is generated by a computer program that I wrote to rank the teams and take multiple factors like geography into account when assigning teams to regionals. This is results-based, using an approximation of techniques to try an match the priorities the NCAA committee showed in the 2018 tournament selection.

Indiana has dropped one spot to #32 in this. A one-place drop to #33 takes the Hoosiers back to a 3-seed. This would likely happen with not sweeping the Rutgers series. Winning the B1G title would provide a nice boost to this ranking making the Hoosiers a solid 2-seed. Michigan has dropped out of the RPI top-50 with the loss at Nebraska which hurt Indiana’s Q1 metric which hurts the overall

Hosts by conference:

SEC: 5 (-1), Pac-12: 3, Big 12: 3, ACC: 3 (+1), Big West, and American: 1 each

Lasts in/firsts out:

Last Four in:
1. WASHINGTON
2. DUKE
3. UC IRVINE
4. HOUSTON


First Four out:
1. SOUTHERN MISS
2. LOUISIANA TECH
3. XAVIER
4. FLORIDA STATE

 

Field of 64*:

*edited 1:18pm due to an error. Sometimes the program leaves a team out due to running out of places to put it with the fact that two teams of the same conference can’t be assigned to the same regional. The number of SEC teams creates conflicts in this. Corrections are in RED

Region: 1
Host: VANDERBILT of the SEC
2-seed: NORTH CAROLINA STATE of the ACC
3-seed: NEBRASKA of the Big Ten
4-seed: UNCG of the Southern



==============================
Region: 16
Host: TENNESSEE of the SEC
2-seed: NORTH CAROLINA of the ACC
3-seed: WASHINGTON of the Pac-12
4-seed: CAMPBELL of the Big South



==============================
Region: 8
Host: GEORGIA of the SEC
2-seed: ILLINOIS STATE of the Missouri Valley
3-seed: CLEMSON of the ACC
4-seed: STONY BROOK of the America East



==============================
Region: 9
Host: ARKANSAS of the SEC
2-seed: CREIGHTON of the Big East
3-seed: TEXAS STATE of the Sun Belt
4-seed: WILLIAM & MARY of the Colonial Athletic



==============================
Region: 4
Host: OREGON STATE of the Pac-12
2-seed: OLE MISS of the SEC
3-seed: UC IRVINE of the Big West
4-seed: NAVY of the Patriot League



==============================
Region: 13
Host: OKLAHOMA STATE of the Big 12
2-seed: TEXAS A&M of the SEC
3-seed: SAM HOUSTON STATE of the Southland
4-seed: WRIGHT STATE of the Horizon League



==============================
Region: 5
Host: LOUISVILLE of the ACC
2-seed: INDIANA of the Big Ten
3-seed: MISSOURI of the SEC
4-seed: MOREHEAD STATE of the Ohio Valley



==============================
Region: 12
Host: TEXAS TECH of the Big 12
2-seed: LSU of the SEC
3-seed: FLORIDA of the SEC
4-seed: BRYANT of the Northeast



==============================
Region: 3
Host: STANFORD of the Pac-12
2-seed: FRESNO STATE of the Mountain West
3-seed: MICHIGAN of the Big Ten
4-seed: MARIST of the MAAC



==============================
Region: 14
Host: BAYLOR of the Big 12
2-seed: DALLAS BAPTIST of the Missouri Valley
3-seed: HOUSTON of the American Athletic
4-seed: UTRGV of the Western Athletic



==============================
Region: 6
Host: MISSISSIPPI STATE of the SEC
2-seed: BYU of the West Coast
3-seed: VCU of the Atlantic 10
4-seed: SOUTHERN of the SWAC



==============================
Region: 11
Host: GEORGIA TECH of the ACC
2-seed: ARIZONA STATE of the Pac-12
3-seed: AUBURN of the SEC
4-seed: CENTRAL MICHIGAN of the Mid-American



==============================
Region: 7
Host: EAST CAROLINA of the American Athletic
2-seed: WEST VIRGINIA of the Big 12
3-seed: DUKE of the ACC
4-seed: NORTH CAROLINA A&T of the MEAC



==============================
Region: 10
Host: UC SANTA BARBARA of the Big West
2-seed: CALIFORNIA of the Pac-12
3-seed: SAN DIEGO STATE of the Mountain West
4-seed: HARVARD of the Ivy League



==============================
Region: 2
Host: UCLA of the Pac-12
2-seed: CONNECTICUT of the American Athletic
3-seed: INDIANA STATE of the Missouri Valley
4-seed: SOUTH DAKOTA STATE of the The Summit League



==============================
Region: 15
Host: MIAMI (FL) of the ACC
2-seed: ILLINOIS of the Big Ten
3-seed: FAU of the Conference USA
4-seed: LIBERTY of the Atlantic Sun

1-64 ranks:

1. VANDERBILT
2. UCLA
3. STANFORD
4. OREGON STATE
5. LOUISVILLE
6. MISSISSIPPI STATE
7. EAST CAROLINA
8. GEORGIA
9. ARKANSAS
10. UC SANTA BARBARA
11. GEORGIA TECH
12. TEXAS TECH
13. OKLAHOMA STATE
14. BAYLOR
15. MIAMI (FL)
16. TENNESSEE
=======================
17. TEXAS A&M
18. LSU
19. NORTH CAROLINA
20. ILLINOIS
21. ARIZONA STATE
22. CREIGHTON
23. ILLINOIS STATE
24. WEST VIRGINIA
25. BYU
26. CALIFORNIA
27. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
28. OLE MISS
29. FRESNO STATE
30. CONNECTICUT
31. DALLAS BAPTIST
32. INDIANA
========================
33. AUBURN
34. MISSOURI
35. FAU
36. NEBRASKA
37. INDIANA STATE
38. CLEMSON
39. MICHIGAN
40. FLORIDA
41. SAN DIEGO STATE
42. HOUSTON
43. UC IRVINE
44. TEXAS STATE
45. DUKE
46. VCU
47. WASHINGTON
48. SAM HOUSTON STATE
========================
49. LIBERTY
50. WRIGHT STATE
51. CAMPBELL
52. UNCG
53. BRYANT
54. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
55. HARVARD
56. MOREHEAD STATE
57. UTRGV
58. WILLIAM & MARY
59. STONY BROOK
60. NAVY
61. MARIST
62. SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
63. NORTH CAROLINA A&T
64. SOUTHERN
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