by Carl James • @jovian34 • May 16
Hoosiers now a 2-seed in this model after wining the Michigan series and dropping midweek to Louisville.
Bracket predictions are all over the place now on just about any site that covers national Division I College baseball. This field is different. I am not “projecting” with this bracket. This is if the committee had to put the field together today. This is generated by a computer program that I wrote to rank the teams and take multiple factors like geography into account when assigning teams to regionals. This is results-based, using an approximation of techniques to try an match the priorities the NCAA committee showed in the 2018 tournament selection.
I am also including last four/first fours and the 1-64 ranking although regional distribution is largely on physical school location. Indiana is #31 in this. A drop to #33 takes the Hoosiers back to a 3-seed. This would likely happen with not sweeping the Rutgers series. Winning the B1G title would provide a nice boost to this ranking making the Hoosiers a solid 2-seed. Keep an eye on Indiana State. If the Sycamores climb just 1 rank, they enter in as a 2-seed as well providing competition for which Indiana school gets the close regional.
Hosts by conference:
SEC: 6, Pac-12: 3, Big 12: 3, ACC: 2, Big West, and American: 1 each
Last Four in: 1. WASHINGTON 2. DUKE 3. FLORIDA 4. UC IRVINE First Four out: 1. LOUISIANA TECH 2. CLEMSON 3. FLORIDA STATE 4. ALABAMA
Field of 64:
Region: 1 Host: VANDERBILT of the SEC 2-seed: NORTH CAROLINA STATE of the ACC 3-seed: MICHIGAN of the Big Ten 4-seed: UNCG of the Southern ============================== Region: 16 Host: MISSOURI of the SEC 2-seed: CREIGHTON of the Big East 3-seed: NEBRASKA of the Big Ten 4-seed: CAMPBELL of the Big South ============================== Region: 8 Host: GEORGIA of the SEC 2-seed: MIAMI (FL) of the ACC 3-seed: FAU of the Conference USA 4-seed: STONY BROOK of the America East ============================== Region: 9 Host: ARKANSAS of the SEC 2-seed: WEST VIRGINIA of the Big 12 3-seed: HOUSTON of the American Athletic 4-seed: WILLIAM & MARY of the Colonial Athletic ============================== Region: 4 Host: MISSISSIPPI STATE of the SEC 2-seed: ARIZONA STATE of the Pac-12 3-seed: SOUTHERN MISS of the Conference USA 4-seed: SOUTHERN of the SWAC ============================== Region: 13 Host: OKLAHOMA STATE of the Big 12 2-seed: ILLINOIS STATE of the Missouri Valley 3-seed: LIBERTY of the Atlantic Sun 4-seed: BRYANT of the Northeast ============================== Region: 5 Host: LOUISVILLE of the ACC 2-seed: INDIANA of the Big Ten 3-seed: INDIANA STATE of the Missouri Valley 4-seed: MOREHEAD STATE of the Ohio Valley ============================== Region: 12 Host: TEXAS TECH of the Big 12 2-seed: LSU of the SEC 3-seed: WASHINGTON of the Pac-12 4-seed: NEW MEXICO STATE of the Western Athletic ============================== Region: 3 Host: STANFORD of the Pac-12 2-seed: OLE MISS of the SEC 3-seed: UC IRVINE of the Big West 4-seed: MARIST of the MAAC ============================== Region: 14 Host: BAYLOR of the Big 12 2-seed: BYU of the West Coast 3-seed: VCU of the Atlantic 10 4-seed: WRIGHT STATE of the Horizon League ============================== Region: 6 Host: EAST CAROLINA of the American Athletic 2-seed: TENNESSEE of the SEC 3-seed: DUKE of the ACC 4-seed: NORTH CAROLINA A&T of the MEAC ============================== Region: 11 Host: GEORGIA TECH of the ACC 2-seed: ILLINOIS of the Big Ten 3-seed: FLORIDA of the SEC 4-seed: HARVARD of the Ivy League ============================== Region: 7 Host: OREGON STATE of the Pac-12 2-seed: NORTH CAROLINA of the ACC 3-seed: SAN DIEGO STATE of the Mountain West 4-seed: NAVY of the Patriot League ============================== Region: 10 Host: UC SANTA BARBARA of the Big West 2-seed: CALIFORNIA of the Pac-12 3-seed: FRESNO STATE of the Mountain West 4-seed: CENTRAL MICHIGAN of the Mid-American ============================== Region: 2 Host: UCLA of the Pac-12 2-seed: AUBURN of the SEC 3-seed: CONNECTICUT of the American Athletic 4-seed: SOUTH DAKOTA STATE of the The Summit League ============================== Region: 15 Host: TEXAS A&M of the SEC 2-seed: DALLAS BAPTIST of the Missouri Valley 3-seed: TEXAS STATE of the Sun Belt 4-seed: SAM HOUSTON STATE of the Southland
1. VANDERBILT 2. UCLA 3. STANFORD 4. MISSISSIPPI STATE 5. LOUISVILLE 6. EAST CAROLINA 7. OREGON STATE 8. GEORGIA 9. ARKANSAS 10. UC SANTA BARBARA 11. GEORGIA TECH 12. TEXAS TECH 13. OKLAHOMA STATE 14. BAYLOR 15. TEXAS A&M 16. MISSOURI =============== 17. MIAMI (FL) 18. TENNESSEE 19. LSU 20. BYU 21. ILLINOIS STATE 22. ILLINOIS 23. WEST VIRGINIA 24. NORTH CAROLINA 25. DALLAS BAPTIST 26. CALIFORNIA 27. ARIZONA STATE 28. CREIGHTON 29. OLE MISS 30. NORTH CAROLINA STATE 31. INDIANA 32. AUBURN =================== 33. INDIANA STATE 34. FRESNO STATE 35. FAU 36. NEBRASKA 37. MICHIGAN 38. SOUTHERN MISS 39. CONNECTICUT 40. TEXAS STATE 41. HOUSTON 42. SAN DIEGO STATE 43. UC IRVINE 44. FLORIDA 45. DUKE 46. WASHINGTON 47. LIBERTY 48. VCU ===================== 49. SAM HOUSTON STATE 50. CAMPBELL 51. WRIGHT STATE 52. UNCG 53. NEW MEXICO STATE 54. BRYANT 55. HARVARD 56. MOREHEAD STATE 57. CENTRAL MICHIGAN 58. WILLIAM & MARY 59. STONY BROOK 60. NAVY 61. MARIST 62. SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 63. NORTH CAROLINA A&T 64. SOUTHERN