by Carl James • @jovian34 • May 6
Hoosiers still a 3-seed in this model after dropping the series at Illinois.
Bracket predictions are all over the place now on just about any site that covers national Division I College baseball. This field is different. I am not “projecting” with this bracket. This is if the committee had to put the field together today. This is generated by a computer program that I wrote to rank the teams and take multiple factors like geography into account when assigning teams to regionals. This is results-based, using an approximation of techniques to try an match the priorities the NCAA committee showed in the 2018 tournament selection.
Hosts by conference:
SEC: 4, Pac-12: 3, ACC: 3, Big 12, Big West, Big East, Mt. West, West Coast and American: 1 each
The Indiana Hoosiers are still the #3 seed in the Louisville Regional in this model. This, unfortunately, has the Hoosiers facing off against possibly the best Friday starter in the country, West Virginia’s Alek Manoah in the first round 2-3 game.
This is a good reason why it will likely help the Hoosiers to get up to 2-seed territory so that first round matchup might not be quite as daunting.
Region numbers below refer to the national seed of the hosts and are organized and colored so that super regional matchups are together.
Region: 1
Host: VANDERBILT of the SEC
2-seed: NORTH CAROLINA STATE of the ACC
3-seed: ILLINOIS STATE of the Missouri Valley
4-seed: UNCG of the Southern
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Region: 16
Host: FRESNO STATE of the Mountain West
2-seed: CALIFORNIA of the Pac-12
3-seed: UC IRVINE of the Big West
4-seed: WRIGHT STATE of the Horizon League
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Region: 8
Host: MISSISSIPPI STATE of the SEC
2-seed: ILLINOIS of the Big Ten
3-seed: SOUTHERN MISS of the Conference USA
4-seed: SOUTHERN of the SWAC
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Region: 9
Host: ARKANSAS of the SEC
2-seed: BAYLOR of the Big 12
3-seed: DALLAS BAPTIST of the Missouri Valley
4-seed: SAM HOUSTON STATE of the Southland
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Region: 4
Host: EAST CAROLINA of the American Athletic
2-seed: TENNESSEE of the SEC
3-seed: DUKE of the ACC
4-seed: NORTH CAROLINA A&T of the MEAC
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Region: 13
Host: BYU of the West Coast
2-seed: NORTH CAROLINA of the ACC
3-seed: NEW MEXICO STATE of the Western Athletic
4-seed: LIBERTY of the Atlantic Sun
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Region: 5
Host: STANFORD of the Pac-12
2-seed: LSU of the SEC
3-seed: VCU of the Atlantic 10
4-seed: WILLIAM & MARY of the Colonial Athletic
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Region: 12
Host: TEXAS TECH of the Big 12
2-seed: TEXAS A&M of the SEC
3-seed: TEXAS STATE of the Sun Belt
4-seed: UTRGV of the Western Athletic
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Region: 3
Host: LOUISVILLE of the ACC
2-seed: WEST VIRGINIA of the Big 12
3-seed: INDIANA of the Big Ten
4-seed: MOREHEAD STATE of the Ohio Valley
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Region: 14
Host: CREIGHTON of the Big East
2-seed: MISSOURI of the SEC
3-seed: NEBRASKA of the Big Ten
4-seed: SOUTH DAKOTA STATE of the The Summit League
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Region: 6
Host: UC SANTA BARBARA of the Big West
2-seed: ARIZONA STATE of the Pac-12
3-seed: SAN DIEGO STATE of the Mountain West
4-seed: NAVY of the Patriot League
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Region: 11
Host: GEORGIA TECH of the ACC
2-seed: OKLAHOMA STATE of the Big 12
3-seed: FLORIDA of the SEC
4-seed: CENTRAL MICHIGAN of the Mid-American
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Region: 7
Host: OREGON STATE of the Pac-12
2-seed: OLE MISS of the SEC
3-seed: GONZAGA of the West Coast
4-seed: STONY BROOK of the America East
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Region: 10
Host: GEORGIA of the SEC
2-seed: INDIANA STATE of the Missouri Valley
3-seed: BRYANT of the Northeast
4-seed: HARVARD of the Ivy League
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Region: 2
Host: UCLA of the Pac-12
2-seed: MICHIGAN of the Big Ten
3-seed: CONNECTICUT of the American Athletic
4-seed: MARIST of the MAAC
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Region: 15
Host: MIAMI (FL) of the ACC
2-seed: AUBURN of the SEC
3-seed: FAU of the Conference USA
4-seed: CAMPBELL of the Big South