Field-of-64 If it Ended Today – May 10th

by Carl James • @jovian34 • May 10

Hoosiers still a 3-seed in this model after dropping midweek at Kentucky.

Bracket predictions are all over the place now on just about any site that covers national Division I College baseball. This field is different. I am not “projecting” with this bracket. This is if the committee had to put the field together today. This is generated by a computer program that I wrote to rank the teams and take multiple factors like geography into account when assigning teams to regionals. This is results-based, using an approximation of techniques to try an match the priorities the NCAA committee showed in the 2018 tournament selection.

I did reduce my conference leaders adjustment by half for most conferences and by 25% for RPI conferences 5-8 (including the Big Ten). There were some teams getting too much of a boost for leading weak conferences.

Hosts by conference:

SEC: 4, Pac-12: 3, Big 12: 3, ACC: 2, Big West, Big East, West Coast and American: 1 each

The Indiana Hoosiers are still the #3 seed in the Louisville Regional in this model.

Region numbers below refer to the national seed of the hosts and are organized and colored so that super regional matchups are together.

Region: 1
Host: VANDERBILT of the SEC
2-seed: MICHIGAN of the Big Ten
3-seed: DUKE of the ACC
4-seed: UNCG of the Southern

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Region: 16
Host: CREIGHTON of the Big East
2-seed: AUBURN of the SEC
3-seed: NEBRASKA of the Big Ten
4-seed: SOUTH DAKOTA STATE of the The Summit League

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Region: 8
Host: ARKANSAS of the SEC
2-seed: ILLINOIS of the Big Ten
3-seed: DALLAS BAPTIST of the Missouri Valley
4-seed: STONY BROOK of the America East

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Region: 9
Host: UC SANTA BARBARA of the Big West
2-seed: CALIFORNIA of the Pac-12
3-seed: FRESNO STATE of the Mountain West
4-seed: HARVARD of the Ivy League

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Region: 4
Host: LOUISVILLE of the ACC
2-seed: ILLINOIS STATE of the Missouri Valley
3-seed: INDIANA of the Big Ten
4-seed: MOREHEAD STATE of the Ohio Valley

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Region: 13
Host: OKLAHOMA STATE of the Big 12
2-seed: MISSOURI of the SEC
3-seed: HOUSTON of the American Athletic
4-seed: LIBERTY of the Atlantic Sun

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Region: 5
Host: OREGON STATE of the Pac-12
2-seed: INDIANA STATE of the Missouri Valley
3-seed: UC IRVINE of the Big West
4-seed: MARIST of the MAAC

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Region: 12
Host: GEORGIA TECH of the ACC
2-seed: WEST VIRGINIA of the Big 12
3-seed: FLORIDA of the SEC
4-seed: WRIGHT STATE of the Horizon League

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Region: 3
Host: EAST CAROLINA of the American Athletic
2-seed: TENNESSEE of the SEC
3-seed: NORTH CAROLINA STATE of the ACC
4-seed: NORTH CAROLINA A&T of the MEAC

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Region: 14
Host: BAYLOR of the Big 12
2-seed: TEXAS A&M of the SEC
3-seed: TEXAS STATE of the Sun Belt
4-seed: UTRGV of the Western Athletic

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Region: 6
Host: STANFORD of the Pac-12
2-seed: OLE MISS of the SEC
3-seed: VCU of the Atlantic 10
4-seed: WILLIAM & MARY of the Colonial Athletic

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Region: 11
Host: TEXAS TECH of the Big 12
2-seed: LSU of the SEC
3-seed: LOUISIANA TECH of the Conference USA
4-seed: BRYANT of the Northeast

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Region: 7
Host: MISSISSIPPI STATE of the SEC
2-seed: NORTH CAROLINA of the ACC
3-seed: SOUTHERN MISS of the Conference USA
4-seed: SOUTHERN of the SWAC

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Region: 10
Host: GEORGIA of the SEC
2-seed: MIAMI (FL) of the ACC
3-seed: FAU of the Conference USA
4-seed: CENTRAL MICHIGAN of the Mid-American

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Region: 2
Host: UCLA of the Pac-12
2-seed: CONNECTICUT of the American Athletic
3-seed: SAN DIEGO STATE of the Mountain West
4-seed: NAVY of the Patriot League

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Region: 15
Host: BYU of the West Coast
2-seed: ARIZONA STATE of the Pac-12
3-seed: SAM HOUSTON STATE of the Southland
4-seed: CAMPBELL of the Big South

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